Peak of the winter in Europe! Russia and Scandinavia -50°C, continental Europe -30°C and British Islands -20°C!

Extreme blocking circulation, which was in Mkweather described in many articles during last period /e.g. https://mkweather.com/2020/12/29/updated-ecmwf-6-week-forecast-for-the-world-absolute-peak-of-the-winter-2020-21-in-continental-europe-around-15-january-after-decline-of-naoi-below-2-aoi-below-4// has brought already the most severe frosts in Siberia since 2002 (Oymyakon -57,2°C on 28. December and -57,5°C on 29. December 2020: https://mkweather.com/2020/12/29/siberian-blocking-extreme-cold-air-in-norway-433c-finland-411c-only-week-after-all-time-december-scandinavian-record-18c/ and the strongest frosts in Norway since 2001, -43,4°C and in Finland since 1995, -41,1°C /https://mkweather.com/2020/12/29/siberian-blocking-extreme-cold-air-in-norway-433c-finland-411c-only-week-after-all-time-december-scandinavian-record-18c// and extreme North Hemispheric coldwave will continue in other parts of continents already next 2-3 weeks!

Firstly, after 8. January 2021, extremely cold Siberian air will shift above Northern Pacific into the USA and Canada, with next significant coldwaves, thanks to peak of negative AO- phase.

Secondly, extreme cold air from Siberia will shift thanks to atmospheric blocking and NAO- phase above parts of Europe already during the second decade of January 2021, with really Siberian conditions.

"While in European Russia and northern Scandinavia, abnormal frosts up to -50°C are expected, some meteorologists in the UK are forecasting freezing -20°C in Scottish highlands and in favorable scenario, frosts up to -30°C should hit central parts of the continent around 15. January 2021."

Situation in the UK will depend mainly on development in Greenland and European sector of Arctic, while coldwave in continental Europe, Balkan, Ukraine, Belarus, Baltic states, Scandinavia, Turkey and Russia will be fully depend on position of tongue of anomalously cold air, which will shift over southern latitudes thanks to extreme low NAO index (below -2) and AO index (below -4) around the middle of the month.

Snow forecast for Europe for upcoming period is more than favorable - with lot of snow almost in all Europe, including British Islands, France or Spain.

After expected peak of Winter 2020/2021, Mkweather expects arrival of early spring conditions in late January 2021 and during February 2021, with predominant effect of Azores high over Europe, with warm sunny or foggy weather in mid-latitudes and Mediterranean and stormtrack-related weather patterns in British Islands, Scandinavia and Baltic states /https://mkweather.com/2020/12/29/in-2021-spring-come-earlier//.

Expected absolute national minimum temperature in Europe during upcoming coldwave (1.-25. January 2021)
Possible scenario - forecasted temperature in 850 hPa anomaly above Europe during the peak of Siberian coldwave in Europe /wxcharts.com
Possible scenario - forecasted temperature in 850 hPa anomaly above Europe during the peak of Siberian coldwave in Europe /wxcharts.com
Expected minimum temperatures in Eastern Europe during Siberian coldwave (real values should be more than 10°C lower) /wetterzentrale.de
Expected minimum temperatures in Eastern Europe during Siberian coldwave (real values should be more than 10°C lower) /wetterzentrale.de
Expected temperatures over Europe during expected coldwave /wetterzentrale.de
Expected temperatures over Europe during expected coldwave /wetterzentrale.de
Forecasted snow occurence in Europe until 17. January 2021 /tropicaltidbits.com

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16 comments

  1. Siberian winter in Europe: Aggressive GFS outputs expect historic frosts, some regions should be buried under the snow - mkweather 3 January, 2021 at 09:05 Reply

    […] Peak of the winter in Europe! Russia and Scandinavia -50°C, continental Europe -30°C and British I… Extreme winter should be longer and stronger! NAO- until the end of January 2021! The most broken circulation on Earth in history: Aleutian low 921 hPa, equal to a Category 5 hurricane, deepest within all-time records 1094,3 hPA! Mongolia with the highest measured air pressure on Earth in history! Oymyakon: The lowest temperature since 2002 (!) -57,2°C / -71°F in monstrous pressure high 1076 hPa! Siberian blocking: Extremely cold air in Norway, -43,3°C, Finland, -41,1°C. Only a week after all-time December Scandinavian record (+18,6°C) Updated ECMWF 6-week forecast for the World: Absolute peak of the Winter 2020/21 in continental Europe around 15. January after decline of NAOi below -2 and AOi below -4! In 2021, spring will come earlier Super cold weather in the USA, Colorado: -50°F / -45,6°C Beijing -26°C: The lowest December temperature since 1978 Extreme winter already in Japan, -32,6°C Extreme blizzard in Severo-Kurilsk, Russia (Visited 2 times, 2 visits today)Liked it? Take a second to support mkweather on Patreon! […]

  2. Siberian winter from Lisbon to Vladivostok! A new ECMWF 6-week forecast is here! - mkweather 4 January, 2021 at 22:03 Reply

    […] Peak of the winter in Europe! Russia and Scandinavia -50°C, continental Europe -30°C and British I… Siberian winter in Europe: Aggressive GFS outputs expect historic frosts, some regions should be buried under the snow Extreme winter should be longer and stronger! NAO- until the end of January 2021! Oymyakon: The lowest temperature since 2002 (!) -57,2°C / -71°F in monstrous pressure high 1076 hPa! Siberian blocking: Extremely cold air in Norway, -43,3°C, Finland, -41,1°C. Only a week after all-time December Scandinavian record (+18,6°C) 1094,3 hPA! Mongolia with the highest measured air pressure on Earth in history! The most broken circulation on Earth in history: Aleutian low 921 hPa, equal to a Category 5 hurricane, deepest within all-time records Updated ECMWF 6-week forecast for the World: Absolute peak of the Winter 2020/21 in continental Europe around 15. January after decline of NAOi below -2 and AOi below -4! In 2021, spring will come earlier Extreme winter already in Japan, -32,6°C Beijing -26°C: The lowest December temperature since 1978 Very hard times for the USA and Canada! Air from abnormal Siberian blast shifts above North America! Super cold weather in the USA, Colorado: -50°F / -45,6°C Extreme blizzard in Severo-Kurilsk, Russia (Visited 1 times, 1 visits today)Liked it? Take a second to support mkweather on Patreon! […]

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