It´s already black on white. Meteorological models are already almost 10 days forecasting extreme Siberian winter in Europe and forecasts are furthermore promising bone-chilling Siberian winter in all European countries, including the warmest southwestern parts!
“Meteorological agencies across Europe expect one of the strongest cold blasts in continent after 2000 – comparable with legendary 2002, 2010 or 2012 cold blasts, which brought many temperature and snowfall records!”
Forecasts from last days, therefore, have been confirmed /https://mkweather.com/2021/01/03/siberian-winter-in-europe-aggressive-gfs-outputs-expect-historic-frosts-some-regions-should-be-buried-under-the-snow/; https://mkweather.com/2021/01/01/peak-of-the-winter-in-europe-russia-and-scandinavia-50c-continental-europe-30c-and-british-islands-20c/; https://mkweather.com/2021/01/04/frosts-up-to-30c-and-central-europe-buried-under-the-snow-freezing-scenarios-of-mega-siberian-cold-blast-for-europe//.
According to the latest forecasts, Siberian winter should hit in Europe in 3 or 4 peaks:
- in western Europe (the UK, Ireland, the Spain, Portugal) already 6.-11. January 2021
- in large parts of Europe around 15. January 2021
- absolute peak of Winter 2020/2021 in northern, eastern, central Europe and Balkan around 20. January 2021
- last possible peak in eastern parts of continent around 25. January 2021
“It needs to underline, that absolute national temperature records should be 10-15°C lower, than are showing averaged GFS outputs (hills averaged with frost valleys).”
In western parts of a continent, excessive winter conditions will peak already during next 5 days – while in British Islands are expected next snowfall events and subsequent frosts in Scotland around -15°C /https://mkweather.com/2021/01/05/the-uk-red-warnings-before-snow-the-first-time-in-history-the-coldest-days-minimally-since-2012-interval-15-20c-expected-to-reach//, Spain hits during next days extreme winter blizzard, with expected 30 – 50 cm, snowfall in Madrid and up to 1 meter of snow in low situated regions in central and eastern Spain /https://mkweather.com/2021/01/05/half-of-spain-under-the-snow-05-meter-of-snow-in-madrid//.
Not only half, but almost all territory of Spain will find itself under the snow, moreover, new GFS outputs expect stronger frosts such as last days, not -15, not -20°C, but in regions with deep snow cover and clear skies in Siberian air masses almost -10°C in 850 Hpa up to -25°C!
Winter will be stronger, than was expected in France and Germany, too – too up to -25°C in low situated basins and valleys.
Extreme winter is confirming for Central Europe and northeastern Balkan – together with Ukraine, Belarus, Baltic states and Turkey are expected frosts below -30°C – mainly in basins and valleys in Carpathians, Dinaric Mountains, but too in lowlands in eastern Europe neighboring with Russia. Similarly, below -30°C temperatures are forecasted for eastern Turkey and Caucasus.
Scandinavia very probably reach temperatures less than -40°C, maybe -45°C, again and northern European Russia have to be prepared for unsurvivable frosts up to -50°C!
Mkweather will watch updates of GFS and ECMWF models and will bring fresh news about current forecasts in next days. Stay safe and be prepared for next very freezing scenarios.