12-days of severe frosts for Italy (-15°C Apennines, -25°C Alps) and Balkan (-20°C Carpathians, -25°C Dinaric Mountains)!

An upcoming Greenlandic, Arctic, and Siberian blasts above Europe should according to the latest runs of GFS persist above Europe long 10-12 days and bring the next anomalously cold period and snowfall.

In the next series of articles, we will look gradually at predicted temperatures and snowfall in Continental (Central) Europe, British Islands, France, Iberia, Italy and Balkan, Eastern Europe, Turkey, and Scandinavia.

For Italy and Balkan, GFS in the last runs has seen a severe coldwave between 12.-23. January 2022, in basins and valleys below 1000 MASL with frosts up to -15°C in the Apennines and -25°C in the Alps, Italy, and up to -20°C in the Carpathians and -25°C in Dinaric Mountains, Balkan countries.

Maximum temperatures should drop below 0°C, with ice days (all-day frosts), rarely, Arctic days, with maximum temperatures below -10°C should appear.

Almost all of the territory of Balkan, and much of Greece and Italy should see snowflakes, or in colder regions, will create a snow cover. Regionally, even, mainly in mountainous regions, a blizzard is possible.

Prolonged extremely cold weather should have an effect on health, power outages, or problems in travel, especially in mountainous regions.

In metropolitan cities, minimum temperatures will be higher, around 0/-10°C, in Balkan rarely -15°C, bigger cities in basins and valleys, however, should attack -5/-10°C, in Balkan up to -20°C, and villages in mountains -10°C/-20°C, in DInaric Mountains maybe up to -25°C.

Coldwave will be gradually shifting eastward and in the 3rd decade of December is possible a peak of Winter 2021 in continental and eastern parts of Europe.

Frosts are forecast to start already in around 5 days, therefore mainly forecast for the second half of the next week appears successful, if coldwave will be really (with higher reliability) very long, we will see soon on outputs of forecast models.

Illustration picture: wetterzentrale.de

Source: wetterzentrale.de

Expected snowfall. Source: tropicaltidbits.com (7.1. 06Z)