Marek Kučera 
Current Status & Forecast
- As of June 9, 2025, Tropical Storm Barbara is intensifying off Mexico’s southwest coast, with sustained winds of 70 mph (110 km/h)—just shy of hurricane strength
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) expects Barbara to reach hurricane intensity by Monday June 9 or 10, before weakening around Tuesday June 10
- Barbara is moving west-northwest (~12 mph / 19 km/h), remaining mostly offshore but still affecting coastal areas.
Impacts on Coastal Mexico
- Widespread rainfall of 2–4 inches (50–100 mm) is anticipated through Monday along the coasts of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco, with localized amounts up to 6 in (150 mm), posing risks of flooding and mudslides
- Dangerous surf and rip currents are expected to impact the southwestern Mexican coast for several days .
- Though no watches or warnings are currently in effect, coastal communities are urged to stay alert.
Life Cycle & Regional Context
- Barbara is the second named storm of the 2025 Eastern Pacific season, following Tropical Storm Alvin. A third system, Cosme, is also developing further southwest .
- Barbara is on track to become the first hurricane of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season, ahead of climatological averages.
- The Atlantic remains quiet so far, amid forecasts of a near-normal to above-average hurricane season.
🏖️ What to Watch
| Timeframe | Expectation |
|---|---|
| June 9–10 | Barbara’s peak as a hurricane near Mexico’s southwestern coast |
| Rain and Flood Risk | 2–4 in with potential for localized 6 in falls |
| Coastal Hazards | Life-threatening surf and rip currents |
| After Monday | Gradual weakening, with attention shifting to Cosme |
❗Takeaway Summary
Tropical Storm Barbara is intensifying and poised to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Eastern Pacific season. Although it’s expected to remain offshore, its outer bands will bring heavy rain and dangerous coastal conditions to parts of southwestern Mexico over the next 24–48 hours. Barbara’s development marks an active and early start to the Pacific hurricane season, while the Atlantic remains calm but under close watch.
Source: tropicaltidbits.com
Illustration map. Source: https://x.com/stormwx_/status/1932061409627586990/photo/1
Marek Sadowski