CFSv2 model already produced new predictions for August 2021, while ECMWF predictions for the next 6 weeks (almost until the end of August 2021) will be available later in the evening on Monday, 12. July 2021.
We should now look at CFS projections for August 2021:
In Europe should be August according to CFSv2 surprisingly colder such as previous hot outputs, with many storms above western parts of continental Europe, central and northern Italy, and the Black Sea region, while the western Balkan and Danube basin in SE Central Europe should be furthermore very hot. Very warm should be northernmost parts of Scandinavia and eastern parts of European Russia.
Surprisingly dry and relatively hot should end traditional stormtrack region from British Islands, thought Benelux, northern Germany, southern Scandinavia, and Baltic region, while northern parts of Norway should be hit by rainstorms more than in July 2021.
In Northern America, the pattern from the first half of Summer 2021 will be preserved in its main features – very hot northern USA and Canada should mean the next heat domes, while stormy eastern USA and Midwest should mean more severe storms and potential hurricanes and tropical storms (and ex-tropical systems) for the area.
The Rocky Mountains appear very dry, with a possibility of wildfires, but the southwestern monsoon should be regionally relatively strong.
Southern and eastern Mexico excluding Yucatan should be extremely dry together with northern Central America and Alaska very stormy.
Region northward from Great Lakes should be very hot and dry in August 2021.
The latest ECMWF outputs showed warmer Europe in August 2021 – the newest outputs of the model we will update soon.
