SEASONAL FORECASTS

We asked AI for GFS ensembles and upcoming heatwaves in Europe: What does it forecast for countries in Europe, following the legendary +41.6°C in Spain in May?
8 min read

We asked AI for GFS ensembles and upcoming heatwaves in Europe: What does it forecast for countries in Europe, following the legendary +41.6°C in Spain in May?

Marek Kučera May 31, 2025 59
Antarctica Approaches May Temperature Record: Vostok Station Plunges to -79.6°C: Why is East Antarctica cooling?
3 min read

Antarctica Approaches May Temperature Record: Vostok Station Plunges to -79.6°C: Why is East Antarctica cooling?

Marek Kučera May 30, 2025 41
Europe Agricultural Forecast: Persistent Drought and Extreme Weather Event Concerns for 2025 Harvest
2 min read

Europe Agricultural Forecast: Persistent Drought and Extreme Weather Event Concerns for 2025 Harvest

Marek Sadowski May 28, 2025 61
Global Warming Hole projections: Global warming should change to cooling from Portugal to Norway!
2 min read

Global Warming Hole projections: Global warming should change to cooling from Portugal to Norway!

Marek Kučera May 24, 2025 129
WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR AUSTRALIA AND OCEANIA: STORMY / SNOWY SEASON – STRONG CYCLONE, SPIDER, AND MICE LA NINA SEASON AHEAD
14 min read

WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR AUSTRALIA AND OCEANIA: STORMY / SNOWY SEASON – STRONG CYCLONE, SPIDER, AND MICE LA NINA SEASON AHEAD

Marek Kučera May 13, 2025 264
The Polar Jet Steam and Current Effects on European Weather in May of 2025
3 min read

The Polar Jet Steam and Current Effects on European Weather in May of 2025

Marek Sadowski May 11, 2025 376
The Collapse of the Polar Vortex in 2025 and Late Season Cold in Europe
4 min read

The Collapse of the Polar Vortex in 2025 and Late Season Cold in Europe

Marek Sadowski May 10, 2025 487
WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR SOUTH AMERICA: LA NINA, AAO-, PDO-, PSA-, DAKAR NINA, AO-/NAO-, IOD-, AMO+, QBO TO – / HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN BRAZIL/BOLIVIA/PARAGUAY, STORMY RAINFOREST (COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, GUYANA REGION, ECUADOR, AMAZON RAINFOREST), COLDER AND DRY PACIFIC COAST (N CHILE, PERUVIAN AND ECUADOR COAST), STORMY LA PLATA, RAINY AND SNOWY PATAGONIA
15 min read

WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR SOUTH AMERICA: LA NINA, AAO-, PDO-, PSA-, DAKAR NINA, AO-/NAO-, IOD-, AMO+, QBO TO – / HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN BRAZIL/BOLIVIA/PARAGUAY, STORMY RAINFOREST (COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, GUYANA REGION, ECUADOR, AMAZON RAINFOREST), COLDER AND DRY PACIFIC COAST (N CHILE, PERUVIAN AND ECUADOR COAST), STORMY LA PLATA, RAINY AND SNOWY PATAGONIA

Marek Kučera May 10, 2025 591
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR ASIA: A STRONG TYPHOON AND CYCLONE SEASON, RECORD HEATWAVES FOR CENTRAL ASIA, HOT MIDDLE EAST (STORMY IN THE SOUTH), HOT CHINA (NORTH STORMY, SOUTH DRIER), DRY WEST AND STORMY EAST SIBERIA
17 min read

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR ASIA: A STRONG TYPHOON AND CYCLONE SEASON, RECORD HEATWAVES FOR CENTRAL ASIA, HOT MIDDLE EAST (STORMY IN THE SOUTH), HOT CHINA (NORTH STORMY, SOUTH DRIER), DRY WEST AND STORMY EAST SIBERIA

Marek Kučera May 8, 2025 602
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR NORTH AMERICA AND THE USA: AT THE FIRST HALF MORE FLOODS, AT THE SECOND HALF PEAK OF THE SUMMER – STRONG WILDFIRE SEASON ON THE WEST, DEADLY TORNADO AND HURRICANE SEASON ON THE EAST Summer 2025 forecast for North America and the USA
20 min read

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR NORTH AMERICA AND THE USA: AT THE FIRST HALF MORE FLOODS, AT THE SECOND HALF PEAK OF THE SUMMER – STRONG WILDFIRE SEASON ON THE WEST, DEADLY TORNADO AND HURRICANE SEASON ON THE EAST

Marek Kučera May 1, 2025 777
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR EUROPE – THE FIRST HALF STORMIER, THE SECOND DRIER – RAINY, STORMY AND FLOODY WEST VS. HOT AND DRY EAST, WITH SEVERE FRONTAL SYSTEMS BETWEEN, SURPRISING TORNADOES POSSIBLE
14 min read

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR EUROPE – THE FIRST HALF STORMIER, THE SECOND DRIER – RAINY, STORMY AND FLOODY WEST VS. HOT AND DRY EAST, WITH SEVERE FRONTAL SYSTEMS BETWEEN, SURPRISING TORNADOES POSSIBLE

Marek Kučera April 24, 2025 3715

EXCLUSIVE CONTENT

We asked AI for GFS ensembles and upcoming heatwaves in Europe: What does it forecast for countries in Europe, following the legendary +41.6°C in Spain in May?
8 min read

We asked AI for GFS ensembles and upcoming heatwaves in Europe: What does it forecast for countries in Europe, following the legendary +41.6°C in Spain in May?

Marek Kučera May 31, 2025 59
          TweetAs Europe braces for another wave of extreme heat in the...
Read More
Antarctica Approaches May Temperature Record: Vostok Station Plunges to -79.6°C: Why is East Antarctica cooling?

Antarctica Approaches May Temperature Record: Vostok Station Plunges to -79.6°C: Why is East Antarctica cooling?

Marek Kučera May 30, 2025
Europe Agricultural Forecast: Persistent Drought and Extreme Weather Event Concerns for 2025 Harvest

Europe Agricultural Forecast: Persistent Drought and Extreme Weather Event Concerns for 2025 Harvest

Marek Sadowski May 28, 2025
Global Warming Hole projections: Global warming should change to cooling from Portugal to Norway!

Global Warming Hole projections: Global warming should change to cooling from Portugal to Norway!

Marek Kučera May 24, 2025
WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR AUSTRALIA AND OCEANIA: STORMY / SNOWY SEASON – STRONG CYCLONE, SPIDER, AND MICE LA NINA SEASON AHEAD

WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR AUSTRALIA AND OCEANIA: STORMY / SNOWY SEASON – STRONG CYCLONE, SPIDER, AND MICE LA NINA SEASON AHEAD

Marek Kučera May 13, 2025

DAILY WEATHER REPORTS

Late Spring or Early Summer? Heatwaves in April and May in China, Mongolia and Siberia

Late Spring or Early Summer? Heatwaves in April and May in China, Mongolia and Siberia

Marek Kučera May 31, 2025
Central Asian Heatwaves in April and May 2025 — And how are all-time Central Asian Records?

Central Asian Heatwaves in April and May 2025 — And how are all-time Central Asian Records?

Marek Kučera May 31, 2025
Middle East Heatwaves – May 2025: Record Temperatures and Underlying Causes

Middle East Heatwaves – May 2025: Record Temperatures and Underlying Causes

Marek Kučera May 31, 2025
South American “Polar Bomb”: snow in Brazil, frosts in Argenitna / Chile and signigicant cooldown in Peru / Ecuador

South American “Polar Bomb”: snow in Brazil, frosts in Argenitna / Chile and signigicant cooldown in Peru / Ecuador

Marek Kučera May 31, 2025
The 1st Tropical storm of the season – Alvin near Mexico, tropical wave in the Caribbean, extreme hail in Texas, extreme temperatures in Northwest Territories, wildfires in Central Canada, forecast for Heat dome from Mexico to Western USA and Canada, storm forecast for Central and Eastern USA
4 min read

The 1st Tropical storm of the season – Alvin near Mexico, tropical wave in the Caribbean, extreme hail in Texas, extreme temperatures in Northwest Territories, wildfires in Central Canada, forecast for Heat dome from Mexico to Western USA and Canada, storm forecast for Central and Eastern USA

Marek Kučera May 30, 2025 52
          TweetAs North America approaches the midpoint of 2025, the continent is...
Read More
Europe hits the strongest deadly heatwave in history so early in the Summer: Spain +45°C, Italy +43°C, from France to Hungary +39°C around 8.-13. June 2025 not excluded (!!!)
4 min read

Europe hits the strongest deadly heatwave in history so early in the Summer: Spain +45°C, Italy +43°C, from France to Hungary +39°C around 8.-13. June 2025 not excluded (!!!)

Marek Kučera May 30, 2025 70
          TweetExtreme heatwaves in Europe in early Summer 2025 are confirming according...
Read More
After historic +42°C in Spain in May, an abnormal hell in Europe: +45°C possible in Italy, +39°C in Germany – Be prepared for extreme scenarios (!!!) The strongest early heatwave ever in Iberia, France, Germany, East-Central Europe, Italy, and the Balkans is possible!
6 min read

After historic +42°C in Spain in May, an abnormal hell in Europe: +45°C possible in Italy, +39°C in Germany – Be prepared for extreme scenarios (!!!) The strongest early heatwave ever in Iberia, France, Germany, East-Central Europe, Italy, and the Balkans is possible!

Marek Kučera May 29, 2025 108
          TweetOur forecasts of heatwaves from the last days are confirming, and...
Read More
The first serious heatwave in Europe is coming: Spain, Italy, France +40°C, Turkey +44°C, Balkan +37°C, Continental, Eastern Europe, and Benelux +35°C, Scandinavia, the British Islands and Baltic region +30°C: All after historic cold in Altnaharra, the UK, with the latest -5°C in history (-5,1°C), and Prague, Czechia, with possibly latest 0°C (+0,1°C)
4 min read

The first serious heatwave in Europe is coming: Spain, Italy, France +40°C, Turkey +44°C, Balkan +37°C, Continental, Eastern Europe, and Benelux +35°C, Scandinavia, the British Islands and Baltic region +30°C: All after historic cold in Altnaharra, the UK, with the latest -5°C in history (-5,1°C), and Prague, Czechia, with possibly latest 0°C (+0,1°C)

Marek Kučera May 23, 2025 170
          TweetAlready in the last article we have forecast severe frosts in...
Read More
Devastating La Nina floods and cold in Australia: The Manning River a record 6,4 m at Taree (breaking a record set in 1929), Morwell -3,9°C (the coldest May day in 42 years of data)
6 min read

Devastating La Nina floods and cold in Australia: The Manning River a record 6,4 m at Taree (breaking a record set in 1929), Morwell -3,9°C (the coldest May day in 42 years of data)

Marek Kučera May 22, 2025 102
          TweetLa Nina winter after the last serious heatwaves up to +38,2°C...
Read More
Qena, Egypt, with +47,8°C, Aswan +47,4°C, +38,0°C in Mozambique a few days before winter, floods in Cape Town, Accra and Flood forecast for season of rains for East Africa
4 min read

Qena, Egypt, with +47,8°C, Aswan +47,4°C, +38,0°C in Mozambique a few days before winter, floods in Cape Town, Accra and Flood forecast for season of rains for East Africa

Marek Kučera May 22, 2025 135
          TweetAfrica is traditionally divided by equatorial and subequatorial zones into the...
Read More
St. Louis, Missouri hit by EF3 tornado, hot for SW, cold for NE and next tornadoes for Central US, Ittoqqoqortormiit (Scoresbysund) in Greenland +14,3°C (broken May record with above 5°C margin (!)
4 min read

St. Louis, Missouri hit by EF3 tornado, hot for SW, cold for NE and next tornadoes for Central US, Ittoqqoqortormiit (Scoresbysund) in Greenland +14,3°C (broken May record with above 5°C margin (!)

Marek Kučera May 19, 2025 146
          TweetIn the next round of tornadoes later last week was significantly...
Read More
The first serious heatwaves should hit Europe soon, a big contrast on composites between E Europe and C Asia in May 2025, and 5 cm hailstorms in France, floods for the Alps / Balkan / the Carpathians ahead
3 min read

The first serious heatwaves should hit Europe soon, a big contrast on composites between E Europe and C Asia in May 2025, and 5 cm hailstorms in France, floods for the Alps / Balkan / the Carpathians ahead

Marek Kučera May 19, 2025 221
          TweetMonday, 19. May 2025 has brought cold morning with Tmins -1/+1°C...
Read More
In Canada, from +37,8°C to snow, 40 cm snow in Goose Bay, Labrador, US tornadoes killed 30, a father rescuing daughter from 1,5 m Maryland floods, the 2nd most successful ski season in the US, drought in Florida and many temperature records across the US
6 min read

In Canada, from +37,8°C to snow, 40 cm snow in Goose Bay, Labrador, US tornadoes killed 30, a father rescuing daughter from 1,5 m Maryland floods, the 2nd most successful ski season in the US, drought in Florida and many temperature records across the US

Marek Kučera May 18, 2025 209
          TweetExtreme heatwave in Canada and northern USA from the last days...
Read More
Composites: Extremely cold May 2025 in Eastern Europe, so far, Iceland (+27°C) and Norway (+29°C) heatwave, next frosts in continental Europe around Friday, Saturday (23.-24. May), heatwaves hit mainly Mediterranean and Eastern Europe, floods in the Alps and Balkan expected
3 min read

Composites: Extremely cold May 2025 in Eastern Europe, so far, Iceland (+27°C) and Norway (+29°C) heatwave, next frosts in continental Europe around Friday, Saturday (23.-24. May), heatwaves hit mainly Mediterranean and Eastern Europe, floods in the Alps and Balkan expected

Marek Kučera May 18, 2025 534
          TweetMay 2025, as you should notice in Mkweather daily weather reports...
Read More
Heatwaves above Sahara and Sahel (Algeria +47,2°C, Chad, +47,0°C) and South Africa (+39,9°C – 10°C hotter than summer average only a few days before winter (!), Gabon +35,3°C and deadly floods in Algeria, Tunisia, Somalia and DR Congo
5 min read

Heatwaves above Sahara and Sahel (Algeria +47,2°C, Chad, +47,0°C) and South Africa (+39,9°C – 10°C hotter than summer average only a few days before winter (!), Gabon +35,3°C and deadly floods in Algeria, Tunisia, Somalia and DR Congo

Marek Kučera May 17, 2025 246
          TweetSevere heatwaves are occupying Saharan and Sahel region, with all-time high...
Read More
Heatwaves and destructive hailstorm in Argentina, Bolivia +36°C and storms in northern South America
1 min read

Heatwaves and destructive hailstorm in Argentina, Bolivia +36°C and storms in northern South America

Marek Kučera May 17, 2025 128
          TweetWinter 2025 forecast for South America you will find here: https://mkweather.com/winter-2025-forecast-for-south-america-la-nina-aao-pdo-psa-dakar-nina-ao-nao-iod-amo-qbo-to-hot-and-dry-southern-brazil-bolivia-paraguay-stormy-rainforest-colombia-venezuela-gu/....
Read More
Madness in Central Asia – Brutal heatwaves up to +46°C in Spring! (Turkmenistan +45,6°C, Uzbekistan +44,5°C, Kazakhstan +44,0°C, Siberia +36,6°C(!)), heatwaves in the Middle East, E-S-SE Asia, and a damaging hailstorm in Beijing, China
7 min read

Madness in Central Asia – Brutal heatwaves up to +46°C in Spring! (Turkmenistan +45,6°C, Uzbekistan +44,5°C, Kazakhstan +44,0°C, Siberia +36,6°C(!)), heatwaves in the Middle East, E-S-SE Asia, and a damaging hailstorm in Beijing, China

Marek Kučera May 17, 2025 279
          TweetAsia is suffering a record Spring 2025, with anomalous heatwaves, in...
Read More
Weather Report for May 14th, 2025. Extreme Heat Across the Northern Hemisphere. North Africa with 47.2°C in Algeria and 47°C in Chad. Central Asia with 45.6°C in Turkmenistan and 43°C in Uzbekistan.
2 min read

Weather Report for May 14th, 2025. Extreme Heat Across the Northern Hemisphere. North Africa with 47.2°C in Algeria and 47°C in Chad. Central Asia with 45.6°C in Turkmenistan and 43°C in Uzbekistan.

Marek Sadowski May 14, 2025 230
          TweetWe are only in mid-May, and temperatures across the Northern Hemisphere...
Read More