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The Collapse of the Polar Vortex in 2025 and Late Season Cold in Europe 1

The Collapse of the Polar Vortex in 2025 and Late Season Cold in Europe

Marek Sadowski May 10, 2025
WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR SOUTH AMERICA: LA NINA, AAO-, PDO-, PSA-, DAKAR NINA, AO-/NAO-, IOD-, AMO+, QBO TO – / HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN BRAZIL/BOLIVIA/PARAGUAY, STORMY RAINFOREST (COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, GUYANA REGION, ECUADOR, AMAZON RAINFOREST), COLDER AND DRY PACIFIC COAST (N CHILE, PERUVIAN AND ECUADOR COAST), STORMY LA PLATA, RAINY AND SNOWY PATAGONIA 2

WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR SOUTH AMERICA: LA NINA, AAO-, PDO-, PSA-, DAKAR NINA, AO-/NAO-, IOD-, AMO+, QBO TO – / HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN BRAZIL/BOLIVIA/PARAGUAY, STORMY RAINFOREST (COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, GUYANA REGION, ECUADOR, AMAZON RAINFOREST), COLDER AND DRY PACIFIC COAST (N CHILE, PERUVIAN AND ECUADOR COAST), STORMY LA PLATA, RAINY AND SNOWY PATAGONIA

Marek Kučera May 10, 2025
Weather report for 9. May 2025: After a strong coldwave, more than a month-lasting heatwave for Europe after 20. May (the US a month-lasting heatwaves after storms)!, Lithuania -5,8°C, Belarus -5,2°C, Poland -3,6°C, Slovakia -3,6°C, Czechia -2,9°C, Ukraine -2,5°C, Germany -0,9°C, France -0,4°C,…Nicosia +35,8°C, Heraklion +35,0°C, Estonia Tmax only +4,8°C, heavy rainfall in Milan, Barcelona, severe hail and flood in Valencia, Spain, tornado in Ukraine, 7 cm hail in Romania, Bulgaria, hail in SW Russia / Severe storms in E half of the USA, CA, MT, ND, SD with heatwaves, floods in Coahuila, Mexico / Heatwaves in the Middle East, Central and Southeast Asia, severe flood alert in Malaysia, floods in Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, India, China / Heatwave in Paraguay region / Algeria, Tunisia after 7 cm hail, Algeria, Libya and Egypt +45°C, floods in Kenya / Perth +34,0°C, floods in Auckland / Greenland sea with Arctic sea ice much above average 3

Weather report for 9. May 2025: After a strong coldwave, more than a month-lasting heatwave for Europe after 20. May (the US a month-lasting heatwaves after storms)!, Lithuania -5,8°C, Belarus -5,2°C, Poland -3,6°C, Slovakia -3,6°C, Czechia -2,9°C, Ukraine -2,5°C, Germany -0,9°C, France -0,4°C,…Nicosia +35,8°C, Heraklion +35,0°C, Estonia Tmax only +4,8°C, heavy rainfall in Milan, Barcelona, severe hail and flood in Valencia, Spain, tornado in Ukraine, 7 cm hail in Romania, Bulgaria, hail in SW Russia / Severe storms in E half of the USA, CA, MT, ND, SD with heatwaves, floods in Coahuila, Mexico / Heatwaves in the Middle East, Central and Southeast Asia, severe flood alert in Malaysia, floods in Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, India, China / Heatwave in Paraguay region / Algeria, Tunisia after 7 cm hail, Algeria, Libya and Egypt +45°C, floods in Kenya / Perth +34,0°C, floods in Auckland / Greenland sea with Arctic sea ice much above average

Marek Kučera May 9, 2025
Weather report for 7.-8. May 2025: Europe under frost attack up to -5°C, heatwaves around 20. May in outlook with +30°C + in Scandinavia, tornado and egg-sized hail in Romania, Bulgaria, +36°C in Greece, snow in Leningrad region, Russia, and storms in Italy / Storms in E half of the USA and Las Vegas, warm records in FL, TX, CT and heatwaves for Minnesota/Dakotas, +46°C in Mexico and blizzard for Alaska / Heatwave in the Middle East and Central Asia continues, Mumbai coldest temps since 1985, landslide near Srinagar, heatwave in Indonesia / +38,9°C in S Brazil, +38,2°C in W Australia, 37°C+ in South Africa, 7 cm hail in Tunisia, Algeria, +45°C in Egypt/ The Arctic sea ice above 2010´s average 4

Weather report for 7.-8. May 2025: Europe under frost attack up to -5°C, heatwaves around 20. May in outlook with +30°C + in Scandinavia, tornado and egg-sized hail in Romania, Bulgaria, +36°C in Greece, snow in Leningrad region, Russia, and storms in Italy / Storms in E half of the USA and Las Vegas, warm records in FL, TX, CT and heatwaves for Minnesota/Dakotas, +46°C in Mexico and blizzard for Alaska / Heatwave in the Middle East and Central Asia continues, Mumbai coldest temps since 1985, landslide near Srinagar, heatwave in Indonesia / +38,9°C in S Brazil, +38,2°C in W Australia, 37°C+ in South Africa, 7 cm hail in Tunisia, Algeria, +45°C in Egypt/ The Arctic sea ice above 2010´s average

Marek Kučera May 8, 2025
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR ASIA: A STRONG TYPHOON AND CYCLONE SEASON, RECORD HEATWAVES FOR CENTRAL ASIA, HOT MIDDLE EAST (STORMY IN THE SOUTH), HOT CHINA (NORTH STORMY, SOUTH DRIER), DRY WEST AND STORMY EAST SIBERIA 5

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR ASIA: A STRONG TYPHOON AND CYCLONE SEASON, RECORD HEATWAVES FOR CENTRAL ASIA, HOT MIDDLE EAST (STORMY IN THE SOUTH), HOT CHINA (NORTH STORMY, SOUTH DRIER), DRY WEST AND STORMY EAST SIBERIA

Marek Kučera May 8, 2025
Weather report for 6. May 2025: The British Islands and Continental Europe with frosts up to -5°C (The UK, -4,7°C, Belarus -4,5°C, Poland/Lithuania -3,2°C, Latvia -2,5°C, Germany -1,2°C, Czechia -0,7°C, Ireland -0,6°C, Spain 0,0°C) and very cold Tmax only +5/+10°C including lowlands, Severe storms hit Croatia, Slovenia, Bosnia, Romania and Italy as well as Barcelona/Girona region, Spain /Warmth, cold and severe storms in the US / Tiksi in Siberia -27,0°C in May and Zabaikalski region 87% engulfed by smoke, NE China, Korea and Japan with frosts, S/E China and SE Asia with heatwaves and storms, India and Pakistan, the Middle East and Central Asia heatwaves / Heatwaves in Bolivia, floods in Colombia and Brazil / +37,2°C in South Africa, +43,4°C in Senegal/Mali / The hottest May night in Tasmania ever / GW hole trend in N Atlantic 6

Weather report for 6. May 2025: The British Islands and Continental Europe with frosts up to -5°C (The UK, -4,7°C, Belarus -4,5°C, Poland/Lithuania -3,2°C, Latvia -2,5°C, Germany -1,2°C, Czechia -0,7°C, Ireland -0,6°C, Spain 0,0°C) and very cold Tmax only +5/+10°C including lowlands, Severe storms hit Croatia, Slovenia, Bosnia, Romania and Italy as well as Barcelona/Girona region, Spain /Warmth, cold and severe storms in the US / Tiksi in Siberia -27,0°C in May and Zabaikalski region 87% engulfed by smoke, NE China, Korea and Japan with frosts, S/E China and SE Asia with heatwaves and storms, India and Pakistan, the Middle East and Central Asia heatwaves / Heatwaves in Bolivia, floods in Colombia and Brazil / +37,2°C in South Africa, +43,4°C in Senegal/Mali / The hottest May night in Tasmania ever / GW hole trend in N Atlantic

Marek Kučera May 6, 2025

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The Collapse of the Polar Vortex in 2025 and Late Season Cold in Europe
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The Collapse of the Polar Vortex in 2025 and Late Season Cold in Europe

Marek Sadowski May 10, 2025 5
WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR SOUTH AMERICA: LA NINA, AAO-, PDO-, PSA-, DAKAR NINA, AO-/NAO-, IOD-, AMO+, QBO TO – / HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN BRAZIL/BOLIVIA/PARAGUAY, STORMY RAINFOREST (COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, GUYANA REGION, ECUADOR, AMAZON RAINFOREST), COLDER AND DRY PACIFIC COAST (N CHILE, PERUVIAN AND ECUADOR COAST), STORMY LA PLATA, RAINY AND SNOWY PATAGONIA
16 min read

WINTER 2025 FORECAST FOR SOUTH AMERICA: LA NINA, AAO-, PDO-, PSA-, DAKAR NINA, AO-/NAO-, IOD-, AMO+, QBO TO – / HOT AND DRY SOUTHERN BRAZIL/BOLIVIA/PARAGUAY, STORMY RAINFOREST (COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA, GUYANA REGION, ECUADOR, AMAZON RAINFOREST), COLDER AND DRY PACIFIC COAST (N CHILE, PERUVIAN AND ECUADOR COAST), STORMY LA PLATA, RAINY AND SNOWY PATAGONIA

Marek Kučera May 10, 2025 26
Weather report for 9. May 2025: After a strong coldwave, more than a month-lasting heatwave for Europe after 20. May (the US a month-lasting heatwaves after storms)!, Lithuania -5,8°C, Belarus -5,2°C, Poland -3,6°C, Slovakia -3,6°C, Czechia -2,9°C, Ukraine -2,5°C, Germany -0,9°C, France -0,4°C,…Nicosia +35,8°C, Heraklion +35,0°C, Estonia Tmax only +4,8°C, heavy rainfall in Milan, Barcelona, severe hail and flood in Valencia, Spain, tornado in Ukraine, 7 cm hail in Romania, Bulgaria, hail in SW Russia / Severe storms in E half of the USA, CA, MT, ND, SD with heatwaves, floods in Coahuila, Mexico / Heatwaves in the Middle East, Central and Southeast Asia, severe flood alert in Malaysia, floods in Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, India, China / Heatwave in Paraguay region / Algeria, Tunisia after 7 cm hail, Algeria, Libya and Egypt +45°C, floods in Kenya / Perth +34,0°C, floods in Auckland / Greenland sea with Arctic sea ice much above average
13 min read

Weather report for 9. May 2025: After a strong coldwave, more than a month-lasting heatwave for Europe after 20. May (the US a month-lasting heatwaves after storms)!, Lithuania -5,8°C, Belarus -5,2°C, Poland -3,6°C, Slovakia -3,6°C, Czechia -2,9°C, Ukraine -2,5°C, Germany -0,9°C, France -0,4°C,…Nicosia +35,8°C, Heraklion +35,0°C, Estonia Tmax only +4,8°C, heavy rainfall in Milan, Barcelona, severe hail and flood in Valencia, Spain, tornado in Ukraine, 7 cm hail in Romania, Bulgaria, hail in SW Russia / Severe storms in E half of the USA, CA, MT, ND, SD with heatwaves, floods in Coahuila, Mexico / Heatwaves in the Middle East, Central and Southeast Asia, severe flood alert in Malaysia, floods in Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, India, China / Heatwave in Paraguay region / Algeria, Tunisia after 7 cm hail, Algeria, Libya and Egypt +45°C, floods in Kenya / Perth +34,0°C, floods in Auckland / Greenland sea with Arctic sea ice much above average

Marek Kučera May 9, 2025 80
Weather report for 7.-8. May 2025: Europe under frost attack up to -5°C, heatwaves around 20. May in outlook with +30°C + in Scandinavia, tornado and egg-sized hail in Romania, Bulgaria, +36°C in Greece, snow in Leningrad region, Russia, and storms in Italy / Storms in E half of the USA and Las Vegas, warm records in FL, TX, CT and heatwaves for Minnesota/Dakotas, +46°C in Mexico and blizzard for Alaska / Heatwave in the Middle East and Central Asia continues, Mumbai coldest temps since 1985, landslide near Srinagar, heatwave in Indonesia / +38,9°C in S Brazil, +38,2°C in W Australia, 37°C+ in South Africa, 7 cm hail in Tunisia, Algeria, +45°C in Egypt/ The Arctic sea ice above 2010´s average
13 min read

Weather report for 7.-8. May 2025: Europe under frost attack up to -5°C, heatwaves around 20. May in outlook with +30°C + in Scandinavia, tornado and egg-sized hail in Romania, Bulgaria, +36°C in Greece, snow in Leningrad region, Russia, and storms in Italy / Storms in E half of the USA and Las Vegas, warm records in FL, TX, CT and heatwaves for Minnesota/Dakotas, +46°C in Mexico and blizzard for Alaska / Heatwave in the Middle East and Central Asia continues, Mumbai coldest temps since 1985, landslide near Srinagar, heatwave in Indonesia / +38,9°C in S Brazil, +38,2°C in W Australia, 37°C+ in South Africa, 7 cm hail in Tunisia, Algeria, +45°C in Egypt/ The Arctic sea ice above 2010´s average

Marek Kučera May 8, 2025 127
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR ASIA: A STRONG TYPHOON AND CYCLONE SEASON, RECORD HEATWAVES FOR CENTRAL ASIA, HOT MIDDLE EAST (STORMY IN THE SOUTH), HOT CHINA (NORTH STORMY, SOUTH DRIER), DRY WEST AND STORMY EAST SIBERIA
17 min read

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR ASIA: A STRONG TYPHOON AND CYCLONE SEASON, RECORD HEATWAVES FOR CENTRAL ASIA, HOT MIDDLE EAST (STORMY IN THE SOUTH), HOT CHINA (NORTH STORMY, SOUTH DRIER), DRY WEST AND STORMY EAST SIBERIA

Marek Kučera May 8, 2025 122
Weather report for 6. May 2025: The British Islands and Continental Europe with frosts up to -5°C (The UK, -4,7°C, Belarus -4,5°C, Poland/Lithuania -3,2°C, Latvia -2,5°C, Germany -1,2°C, Czechia -0,7°C, Ireland -0,6°C, Spain 0,0°C) and very cold Tmax only +5/+10°C including lowlands, Severe storms hit Croatia, Slovenia, Bosnia, Romania and Italy as well as Barcelona/Girona region, Spain /Warmth, cold and severe storms in the US / Tiksi in Siberia -27,0°C in May and Zabaikalski region 87% engulfed by smoke, NE China, Korea and Japan with frosts, S/E China and SE Asia with heatwaves and storms, India and Pakistan, the Middle East and Central Asia heatwaves / Heatwaves in Bolivia, floods in Colombia and Brazil / +37,2°C in South Africa, +43,4°C in Senegal/Mali / The hottest May night in Tasmania ever / GW hole trend in N Atlantic
14 min read

Weather report for 6. May 2025: The British Islands and Continental Europe with frosts up to -5°C (The UK, -4,7°C, Belarus -4,5°C, Poland/Lithuania -3,2°C, Latvia -2,5°C, Germany -1,2°C, Czechia -0,7°C, Ireland -0,6°C, Spain 0,0°C) and very cold Tmax only +5/+10°C including lowlands, Severe storms hit Croatia, Slovenia, Bosnia, Romania and Italy as well as Barcelona/Girona region, Spain /Warmth, cold and severe storms in the US / Tiksi in Siberia -27,0°C in May and Zabaikalski region 87% engulfed by smoke, NE China, Korea and Japan with frosts, S/E China and SE Asia with heatwaves and storms, India and Pakistan, the Middle East and Central Asia heatwaves / Heatwaves in Bolivia, floods in Colombia and Brazil / +37,2°C in South Africa, +43,4°C in Senegal/Mali / The hottest May night in Tasmania ever / GW hole trend in N Atlantic

Marek Kučera May 6, 2025 195
Weather report for 5. May 2025: Coldwave in Europe will last long 2 weeks, bringing snow and frosts (Sweden -10,5°C, Finland -10,4°C, the UK -2,9°C, Poland -1,7°C, the Netherlands -1,4°C, Denmark -1,3°C, Baltic countries -1,3°C, Germany -0,4°C), frosts below -5°C in basins and valleys possible on snowfall up to 5 cm below 1000 MASL, severe storms in Southern Europe expected, France and Italy already with 5 cm hail and floods / Canada +32,5°C, the US from cold and stormy to hot and dry pattern next weeks / Sandstorm in Saudi Arabia and heatwaves in the Middle East and Central Asia, flooded Dimona, Israel, hail in Guanzhou, China / Hewataves in Bolivia, South Africa and Australia / Anomalously cold Arctic
9 min read

Weather report for 5. May 2025: Coldwave in Europe will last long 2 weeks, bringing snow and frosts (Sweden -10,5°C, Finland -10,4°C, the UK -2,9°C, Poland -1,7°C, the Netherlands -1,4°C, Denmark -1,3°C, Baltic countries -1,3°C, Germany -0,4°C), frosts below -5°C in basins and valleys possible on snowfall up to 5 cm below 1000 MASL, severe storms in Southern Europe expected, France and Italy already with 5 cm hail and floods / Canada +32,5°C, the US from cold and stormy to hot and dry pattern next weeks / Sandstorm in Saudi Arabia and heatwaves in the Middle East and Central Asia, flooded Dimona, Israel, hail in Guanzhou, China / Hewataves in Bolivia, South Africa and Australia / Anomalously cold Arctic

Marek Kučera May 5, 2025 245
Weather report for 4. May 2025: Cold 7 days for Europe ahead, Summer 2025 will start with extreme heatwaves +35°C (!), Moscow under snow in May (a 116 y record!), Paris with egg-sized hailstorm (Strasbourg +30,0°C), tornadoes in Portugal, Denmark, Sweden and Germany (here +30,4°C), 5 cm hail in Poland and Austria (Wien +30,3°C), Slovakia +30,0°C, storms in Ukraine, -12,0°C in Sweden, +1,2°C in Dublin and ground frosts in Baltic states / Severe storms in E half of the USA and some monsoon on SW, the first summer serious heatwaves in outlook / Extreme heatwaves in the Middle East (Saudi Arabia +47,9°C), Central Asia, SE Asia and China (Xingyang +42,0°C) continue / heavy rainfall in north South America and equatorial Africa and savannas / Australia and Oceania with extreme heat, too / Arctic sea extent suspiciously above expected values
19 min read

Weather report for 4. May 2025: Cold 7 days for Europe ahead, Summer 2025 will start with extreme heatwaves +35°C (!), Moscow under snow in May (a 116 y record!), Paris with egg-sized hailstorm (Strasbourg +30,0°C), tornadoes in Portugal, Denmark, Sweden and Germany (here +30,4°C), 5 cm hail in Poland and Austria (Wien +30,3°C), Slovakia +30,0°C, storms in Ukraine, -12,0°C in Sweden, +1,2°C in Dublin and ground frosts in Baltic states / Severe storms in E half of the USA and some monsoon on SW, the first summer serious heatwaves in outlook / Extreme heatwaves in the Middle East (Saudi Arabia +47,9°C), Central Asia, SE Asia and China (Xingyang +42,0°C) continue / heavy rainfall in north South America and equatorial Africa and savannas / Australia and Oceania with extreme heat, too / Arctic sea extent suspiciously above expected values

Marek Kučera May 4, 2025 1072
Weather Report for May 2nd/3rd, 2025. Unseasonal Heat in Central Continental Europe (30°C in Austria and Hungary), High Temps along Mid-Atlantic US Seaboard (31°C in Virginia and Maryland), Middle East Heatwave persisting (47°C in Saudi Arabia)
2 min read

Weather Report for May 2nd/3rd, 2025. Unseasonal Heat in Central Continental Europe (30°C in Austria and Hungary), High Temps along Mid-Atlantic US Seaboard (31°C in Virginia and Maryland), Middle East Heatwave persisting (47°C in Saudi Arabia)

Marek Sadowski May 3, 2025 865
Weather Report for 1. May 2025: Continental Europe after tropical heatwave frosts and snow in basins, Finland -10,2°C, the Netherlands +29,5°C, Germany +28,8°C, severe storms hit eastern half of the US and the next hard weeks ahead, Asia with +10°C above monthly records and 300-y heatwave (Pakistan +49,0°C, Kuwait +48,9°C, Saudi Arabia +47,6°C, Iran/Iraq +47,0°Cm UAE +46,6°C, Israel +44,9°C, Turkmenistan +43,3°C), Sahara hot, +40°C in South Africa and +30°C in southern Australia a month before winter, tropical depressions near Philippines Weather Report for 1. May 2025: Continental Europe after tropical heatwave frosts and snow in basins, Finland -10,2°C, the Netherlands +29,5°C, Germany +28,8°C, severe storms hit eastern half of the US and the next hard weeks ahead, Asia with +10°C above monthly records and 300-y heatwave (Pakistan +49,0°C, Kuwait +48,9°C, Saudi Arabia +47,6°C, Iran/Iraq +47,0°Cm UAE +46,6°C, Israel +44,9°C, Turkmenistan +43,3°C), Sahara hot, +40°C in South Africa and +30°C in southern Australia a month before winter, tropical depressions near Philippines
18 min read

Weather Report for 1. May 2025: Continental Europe after tropical heatwave frosts and snow in basins, Finland -10,2°C, the Netherlands +29,5°C, Germany +28,8°C, severe storms hit eastern half of the US and the next hard weeks ahead, Asia with +10°C above monthly records and 300-y heatwave (Pakistan +49,0°C, Kuwait +48,9°C, Saudi Arabia +47,6°C, Iran/Iraq +47,0°Cm UAE +46,6°C, Israel +44,9°C, Turkmenistan +43,3°C), Sahara hot, +40°C in South Africa and +30°C in southern Australia a month before winter, tropical depressions near Philippines

Marek Kučera May 2, 2025 1203
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR NORTH AMERICA AND THE USA: AT THE FIRST HALF MORE FLOODS, AT THE SECOND HALF PEAK OF THE SUMMER – STRONG WILDFIRE SEASON ON THE WEST, DEADLY TORNADO AND HURRICANE SEASON ON THE EAST Summer 2025 forecast for North America and the USA
20 min read

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR NORTH AMERICA AND THE USA: AT THE FIRST HALF MORE FLOODS, AT THE SECOND HALF PEAK OF THE SUMMER – STRONG WILDFIRE SEASON ON THE WEST, DEADLY TORNADO AND HURRICANE SEASON ON THE EAST

Marek Kučera May 1, 2025 555
SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR EUROPE – THE FIRST HALF STORMIER, THE SECOND DRIER – RAINY, STORMY AND FLOODY WEST VS. HOT AND DRY EAST, WITH SEVERE FRONTAL SYSTEMS BETWEEN, SURPRISING TORNADOES POSSIBLE
14 min read

SUMMER 2025 FORECAST FOR EUROPE – THE FIRST HALF STORMIER, THE SECOND DRIER – RAINY, STORMY AND FLOODY WEST VS. HOT AND DRY EAST, WITH SEVERE FRONTAL SYSTEMS BETWEEN, SURPRISING TORNADOES POSSIBLE

Marek Kučera April 24, 2025 2313