In the second half of March 2021 very warm air in Europe forecasted (20°C, maybe 25°C in mid-latitudes?)

It appears, that until the end of March 2021, 2 cold and 2 warm period expect us, yet in Europe.

Current coldwave should still surprise in eastern parts of Europe, Baltic states, NE Balkan and Eastern Europe /, then will come warm period and at the start of March 2021, Siberian winter probably will return /

After very cold period in the first decade or the first half of March 2021, very to extremely warm weather should arrive into parts of Europe according to the newest ECMWF 6-week forecasts.

Firsty, warm weather with temperatures around +25°C should surprise Mediterranean already in the middle of March 2021, then, Azores high is predicted in Western And Central Europe, with temperatures above +20°C, in the warmest lowlands maybe above +25°C.

The first summer days (above +25°C) should surprise until the end of March 2021 in circulation such this.

While in the first half of March 2021, cold blocking pattern and Atlantic Ridge are expected, during the second half of March 2021, NAO+ (positive phase of North Atlantic Oscillation) is expected.

NAO+ in March means, that strong subtropical Azores high will be shifted anomalously above Europe, while strong Icelandic low will be shifted into northern latitudes (mainly subarctic regions such as Scotland – Scandinavia – Baltic region – St. Petersburg – northern European Russia).

In circulation such this, very sunny and warm weather should surprise almost all continent, therefore in long-term outlook, will be prepared to very good weather appropriate to gardening or outdoor activities.

Mornings however, should stay relatively cold and in April or May, thanks to colder climate (La nina, possible AO- and NAO- phases), late frosts should surprise and cause damages on early planted harvest.

For better awareness and preparedness, stay watch Mkweather and during the following days, stay still safe and in warm.

Weather regime frequency forecast until 1.4.2021 /Source:
Anomalies from long term average for weeks between 15.2.-29.3. from left a) temperature b) air pressure c) precipitation /Source:

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Author: marekkucera
Writer about weather since 2007. The goal of this project is to inform a wide audience about extremes of weather, atmospheric circulation, and climate change around the world. If you like our work, you can support us on Patreon or donate.