Although main run of GFS is relatively warmer, with -5°C in 850 hPa for parts of Central Europe , there are still possibilities of anomalous Siberian air comeback into Central Europe, with only -15/-20°C in 850 hPa, what means 5-10°C warmer weather such as during February 2021 extreme Siberian coldwave.
If last coldwave have brought frosts in Central Europe regionally below -30°C /a summary of measured temperatures across Europe during the last coldwave you will find here: https://mkweather.com/2021/02/19/johvi-estonia-301c-extreme-winter-shifted-above-baltic-region/ /, March 2021 coldwave in its coldest variants should bring -20/-25°C frosts, in its warmer variants only -10/-15°C frosts
However, in Scandinavia, temperatures are still expected to reach extreme -40°C during the first March 2021 decade Baltic countries and Eastern Europe Central Europe and Balkan
It appears, that while in Scandinavia , winter blast will be associated with heavy snowfall , in Central Europe , for now, many snow showers are at the beginning of the Spring 2021 expected.
Very warm and sunny spring weather after 12. March 2021
ECMWF 6-week forecast with commentaries will be on Mkweather updated soon in the next series of articles.
Infographics: wetterzentrale.de, tropicaltidbits.com
Read more:
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https://mkweather.com/2021/02/17/extreme-frosts-in-mexico-monclova-620-masl-100c-all-time-record-2021/
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https://mkweather.com/2021/02/15/siberian-winter-should-return-in-early-march-2021/
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