Finland -29,0°C, although GFS saw only -20°C, according to this logic, -37°C in Scandinavia, is in the next period possible




Europe hits premature and extremely strong winter!

A long period with very cold conditions is forecasted already between late November and early January 2021-2022 /visit our homepage, Winter forecast is available here: https://mkweather.com/winter-2021-2022-forecast-for-northern-hemisphere//.

NAO index is forecasted to fall to the lowest values since extreme frosts in Europe in January and February 2021, when frosts up to -35°C appeared in Europe (Czechia, Hungary around 1000 MASL) and April 2021, when up to -20,6°C was measured in low situated basins and valleys below 1000 MASL (Slovenia) /https://mkweather.com/nao-index-falls-to-2-0-the-lowest-value-since-legendary-35c-frosts-in-europe-in-january-february-2021-or-206c-in-april-2021//.

Temperature is forecasted to decrease probably until the New Year /https://mkweather.com/extremely-cold-weather-until-a-new-year-2022-arctic-air-should-come-in-3-peaks-around-30-11-14-12-and-christmas-wider-european-region-estimates// and the first cold period has already started on Tuesday, 23. November, with a peak in the last November days and early December 2021.

Not only severe frosts, possibly almost-40°C in Scandinavia, up to -25°C in continental Europe, -20°C in British Islands and -15°C in the Mediterranean, but too severe blizzards across the continent are forecasted!

Cold weather has a bad impact on the virological situation, heart attack rates, many kinds of cancer, or should cause hypothermia.

Blizzards should cause widespread problems on roads, highways, or railways and power outagesincluding metropolitan areas.

If you live in possible hit regions, we highly recommend you to watch current weather news, forecasts, warnings, and advisories.

Scandinavia with long-term period with life-threatening frosts, up to -37°C is possible

Extreme frosts in Scandinavia already have started on Tuesday, 23. November 2021, when in Utsjoki Kevo Kevojärvi, -29,0°C was registered.

On GFS outputs for Lapland, however, only temperatures up to -20°C were forecasted, therefore, the reality was 9°C colder than returned a forecast model.

For the next 16-day period, GFS expects the coldest times around Monday, 29. November 2021, when temperatures on GFS outputs are moving locally up to -27/-29°C.

According to Mkweather estimates, therefore, minimum temperatures up to -37/-38°C are in the region possible.

Severe frosts below -30°C are very possible in southern Scandinavia, mainly southern Norway, too.

Temperatures in 850 hPa temporarily fall into the interval -15/-20°C above the region, while above continental parts of Europe, interval -10/-15°C is possible.

Severe frosts below -30°C, during peaks -35°C should surprise almost in all days in 16-day outlook – the coldest air will be slowly shifting from Norway and Lapland above eastern Finland.

November all-time temperature records in Lapland are moving around -35/-45°C, therefore regional all-time monthly records should appear across Norway, Sweden, and Finland during the upcoming period.

Frosts like this should be life-threatening, such was mentioned in the first section of the article, therefore stay safe and watch current weather news, forecasts, warnings, and advisories.

The extreme winter period will be very probably linked with winter blizzards with dozens of centimeters, regionally meters of snow in Scandinavia, therefore stay prepared and informed.

Mkweather will inform you about reached temperature records on our homepage.

Illustration picture: wetterzentrale.de

Source: wxcharts.com

T2m anomaly on Monday, 29. November 2021 /wxcharts.com

Source: wetterzentrale.de

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Author: marekkucera
Writer about weather since 2007. The goal of this project is to inform a wide audience about extremes of weather, atmospheric circulation, and climate change around the world. If you like our work, you can support us on Patreon or donate.