Bad news: Cold June and July 2021 pattern in Europe is highly probable




A new forecast for Summer 2021 (least for June and July 2021) was updated on AER Blog /https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation//.

The most interesting published outputs on the blog and Twitter were forecasts for 4-33 and 34-64 day or June 2021 and July 2021 for Northern Hemisphere.

From the outputs is evident, that Europe, mainly including Mediterranean (latest ECMWF forecasts promised warm southern Europe least: https://mkweather.com/summer-2021-in-europe-will-be-colder-such-was-forecasted/), similarly such as colder Midwest in the USA and in July cold East Asia, will be experiencing with not a very hot Summer 2021.

Canadian Arctic and Verkhoyansk region, such as Sahara, Middle East and later again Central Asia and European Russia and western Siberia, should thanks to blocking situation above Europe profit by tropical advections with origin in the Middle East and Sahara.

According to AER "The latest CFS forecast for July shows a surprisingly lack of heat across the Northern Hemisphere", what means, that large parts of continents, mainly the USA, southern Canada, Europe or Eastern Asia or parts of non-Arctic Russia.

However, circulation like this should trigger extreme heatwaves in desert climate from Sahara, trough Middle East to Gobi desert, while Sahel and subequatorial climate zone should be colder and stormy.

Cold pattern for Europe should mean more showers and more cold outbreaks from N-NW into Europe, probably near predominant AO- / NAO- phases, weaker Icelandic low and Azores high and stronger Greenland high.

Circulation pattern from last months (La nina, solar cycle minimum, above average volcanic activity) /https://mkweather.com/a-big-european-circulation-anomaly-in-2021-totally-oppositely-such-as-in-the-world-and-showing-what-climate-change-should-bring-until-2100/; https://mkweather.com/2021-22-little-ice-age-years-with-volcanic-activity-in-last-30-years-had-tendency-to-be-la-nina-during-solar-cycle-minimum/; https://mkweather.com/2021-22-little-ice-age-years-with-volcanic-activity-in-last-30-years-had-tendency-to-be-la-nina-during-solar-cycle-minimum/; https://mkweather.com/the-next-cold-winter-strong-la-nina-in-winter-2021-2022-forecasted/; https://mkweather.com/solar-cycle-behind-nao-coldwaves-in-europe-and-la-nina-coldwaves-around-the-world-2021// therefore should be in main features preserved in Summer 2021, what should bring in European countries many surprises.

In some region of Europe, cold summer, with negative temperature anomaly below 0°C hasn´t been measured more than 30 years and there is a not negligible possibility, that Summer 2021 should break this long line, similarly, such as Spring 2021 should end in parts of Europe such as the coldest since 1987 https://mkweather.com/the-coldest-spring-2021-in-europe-since-1987//.

(Visited 77 times, 1 visits today)
Liked it? Take a second to support mkweather on Patreon!
Tags10 day forecast14 day forecast15 day forecast16 day forecastAdana forecastAfrica forecastAlbania weatherAleutian lowAmarilloAntarctica weatherAO indexArctic airArctic AmplificationArctic blastArctic oscillationArctic oscilsummer 2021Asia extreme weatherAsia forecastAsia severe weatherAthens forecastAtlantaAtmospheric blockingAustralia forecastAustria weatherAzores highBerlin forecastblizzardblocking patternBordeaux forecastBostonBuffalocCAIRO FORECASTCalgaryCanadaCanada long term forecastCanada severe weatherCanada summer forecastCasperCheyenneChicagoCHISINAU FORECASTClevelandclimate changeclimate change weathrCOBENHAGEN FORECASTcodlest maycodlest springcolcold blastcold spellcold summercold summer 2021cold SUmmr focold spring 2021cold weathercoldest AprilCordoba forecastCORK FORECAST CROATIA WEATHER FORECASTCOVID-19cycloneDenverdeserts su2021droughtdryDRY SEASONDuluthEdmontonER forecastEuropeEurope extreme weatherEurope long term forecastEurope severe weatherEurope snow forecastEurope summer outlookEurope summer predictionsEurope temperature forecastEXTREME CIRCULATIONextreme cold weatherEXTREME FORECASTextreme frostsEXTREME LOW TEMPERATURESEXTREME SPRING FORECASTEXTREME TEMPERATURES USAEXTREME WEATHER 2021extreme weather Canadaextreme weather Europeextreme weather USAFinland weatherfloodsforecastFORECAST ALGIERSFORECAST ANKARAFORECAST ANTALYAFORECAST BARCELONAforecast BelarusFORECAST BELEGRADEFORECAST BELFAST FORECAST BELGIUMFORECAST BIALSKO BIALAFORECAST BIRMINGHAMFORECAST BRIGHTONFORECAST BRISTOLFORECAST BRNOFORECAST BUCHARESTforecast Bulgariaforecast CanadaFORECAST CARDIFFFORECAST CHINAforecast CzechiaFORECAST DENMARKFORECAST DONETSKFORECAST DUBLINFORECAST DUBROVNIKFORECAST EDINBURGHFORECAST EGYPTFORECAST ESTONIAforecast EuropeFORECAST FRANKFURTFORECAST GENEVEFORECAST GENOAFORECAST GOTEBORGFORECAST ICELANDFORECAST SAN FRANCISCOforecast USAFrance weatherfrostsgrand solar minimumGreat Lakes forecastGreece weatherGreenland highGreenlanhughHamburg forecastheatwaveheavy rainHelenaHELSINKI FORECASTHeraklion forecasthistoric frostshot sumer 2021hot weatherHoustonhumidhumidexhurricaneICE RAINIcelandic lowInnsbruck forecastInternational FallsIRELAND WEATHER FORECASTIstanbul forecastItaly weatherIzmir forecastJapan forecastJapan weatherJuly 2021 forecastJuly forecastJune 2012 forecastJune forecastKansas CityKARASJOK FORECASTKOELN FORECASTKorea forecastKOSOVO WEATHER FORECASTKRAKOW FORECASTKYIV FORECASTLa Coruna forecastLa nina weatherlandslidesLATVIA WEATHER FORECASTLE HAVRE FORECASTLIBYA WEATHER FORECASTLisbon forecastLITHUANIA WEATHER FORECASTLJUBLJANA FORECASTLODZ FORECASTLondon forecastlong-term forecastLos AngelesLULEA FORECASTLUXEMBOURG WEATHER FORECASTLYON FORECASTMadrid forecastMalaga forecastMALTA WEATHER FORECASTMANCHESTER FORECASTMARSEILLE FORECASTMELTING ARCITCMiamimid lacold summerMid-Atlantic forecastMiddle East forecastMIDDLE EAST WEATHER FORECASTMidwest forecastMidwest summer forecastMILAN FORECASTMINSK FORECASTMOLDOVA WEATHER FORECASTMongolia forecastmonsoonmonsoon AsiaMONTENEGRO WEATHER FORECASTMontrealMOROCCO WEATHER FORECASTMOSCOW FORECASTMunich forecastMURCIA FORECASTNAO indexNAPLES FORECASTnegative phase Arctic oscillationnegative phase NAONETHERLANDS WEATHER FORECASTNew YorkNEW ZEALAND FORECSASTNICOSIA FORECASTNOAANorth Atlantic OscillationNorth Atlantic Oscillation summer 2021NORTH MACEDONIA WEATHER FORECASTNORTH PACIFIC LOW PRESSURENortheast forecastNorthern HemisphereNorthern Plains forecastNorthwest forecastNorway weatherNOVOSIBIRSK FORECASTODESA FORECASTOklahoma CityOrlandoOSLO FORECASTOttawaOULU FORECASTOymyakon forecastParis forecastPEAK WEATHERPhiladelphiaPhoenixPittsburghPODGORICA FORECASTPOLAND WEATHER FORECASTpolar vortexPorto forecastPORTUGAL WEATHER FORECASTPrague forecastPRISTINA FORECASTQuebecRABAT FORECASTRAINY SEASONRapid CityREYKYAVIK FORECASTRIGA FORECASTRocky MountainsROMANIA WEATHER FORECASTRussia extreme frostsRussia forecastSAHARA FORECASTSANKT PETERSBURG FORECASTSCOTLAND WEATHER FORECATseasonal forecastSEASONAL FORECAST USAseasonal forecstSeattleSERBIA WEATHER FORECASTsevere frostsSEVERE WEATHE RUSASevilla forecastSiberian blastSiberian highSioux Fallsski center Europe forecastSKOPJE FOECASTSLOVAKIA WEATHER FORECASTSLOVENIA WEATHER FORECASTsnowstormSOFIA FORECASTsolar activity weatherSolar cycleSOUTH AMERICA FORECASTSOUTHERN USA FORECASTSouthwest forecastSPAIN WEATHER FORECASTSTOCKHOLM EXTREME SPRING FORECASTstormstorm forecastsummer 2021 forecast Europesummer 2021summer 2021 forecastsummer forecastsummer forecast 2021summer forecast Central Asiasummer forecast Csummer forecast Russiasummer forecast East Asiasummer forecast Europesummer forecast Middle Eastsummer forecast northern Africasummer forecast Northern Hemispheresummer forecast Saharasummer forecast SE Asiasummer forecast Southern Asiasummer forecast USASWEDEN EXTREME WEATHER FORECASTSWITZERLAND WEATHER FORECASTTALLIN FORECASTtemperature recordtemperature recordsthunderstormTIRANA FORECASTTorontoTORSHAVN FORECASTTROMSO FORECASTtropical cycloneTropical depressiontropical stormTROPICAL SYSTEMtropicaltidbitsTulsaTUNIS FORECASTTURKEY WEATHER FORECASTtyphoonUK weather forecastUKRAINE WEATHER FORECASTUSUSA extreme cold blastUSA extreme weatherUSA forecastUSA long term forecastUSA summer forecastVancouverVILNIUS FORECASTVOLCANIC ACTVITYvolcanoes weatherWales weatherwarm spellwarm weatherWARSAW FORECASTweakening Gulf StreamWEATHER 2021 USAWEATHER FORECAST BERGENWEATHER FORECAST CANADAWEATHER FORECAST ENGLANDWEATHER FORECAST ERZURUMweather forecast europeWEATHER FORECAST USAweather outlookWEATHER OUTLOOK USAWEATHER PROGNOSIS USAwetwetterzentralewxchartsZAGREB FORECASTZURRICH FORECAST

ARTICLES

COVID19 LIVE

Widget for web.