Dangerous May frosts for the USA between 5.-15. May 2021! + World map of late frosts trends 1959-2017




Not only Europe, but vineyards in Midwest and East Coast reported problems during the last period of severe frosts between 15.-25. April.

Many US cities, including warm coastal region in Mid-Atlantic reported in last period frosts, which should be for many plants damaging.

Not only vineyards, but too fruit trees and many sorts of outdoor flowers were affected.

While western USA expect heatwaves until 15. May 2021 /https://mkweather.com/death-valley-expects-first-110c-of-the-year-heatwaves-in-west-will-persist-until-15-may//, many cold fronts in central and eastern USA wil bring not only ideal conditions for tornado outbreaks /https://mkweather.com/heatwaves-frosts-and-tornadoes-forecast-for-the-usa-until-15-may-2021//, but it appears, that between 5.-15. May very good conditions for very late-season frosts.

2 coldwaves between 5.-15. May 2021 are forecasted to be divided only by short warmer period mainly in southern states.

Frosts should again appear in more southern regions such as in late spring usual and northern states should surprise even local snowing and temperatures should rarely drop up to -10°C / 14°F.

With full power will be hit the most densely populated part of Canada, too. Only in last period, parts of Canada reported extremely cold conditions /https://mkweather.com/the-strongest-late-frosts-in-southern-canada-since-1956-58-saskatoon-148c-winnipeg-115c/; https://mkweather.com/quebec-canada-extremely-cold-270c//.

Trend in 2021 with strong late coldwaves will be therefore in North America preserved, while in Europe, heatwaves should surprise gradually /https://mkweather.com/may-brings-heatwaves-in-europe-estimates-of-national-maximum-temperatures-hot//, although, the start of May should be very cold /https://mkweather.com/frost-and-ground-frost-forecast-for-europe-until-15-may-2021//.

According to researches investigating trends of severe late frosts in the world, increased trends were between 1959-2017 observed mainly in North America, British Islands, western France, northern Spain, Ural region and southern Siberia, while large parts of Europe, Turkey, Caucasus, China, Central Asia, SE Australia and South America report mostly declining trends of days with late frosts.

Change of late season frosts in the world between 1959 – 2017 /https://www.pnas.org/content/117/22/12192/

T850 hPa anomalies in the USA between 5.-15. May 2021 /Source: wxcharts.com

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Author: marekkucera
Writer about weather since 2007. The goal of this project is to inform a wide audience about extremes of weather, atmospheric circulation, and climate change around the world. If you like our work, you can support us on Patreon or donate.