Summer forecast for Asia: Hot, but strong Indian monsoon

After Mkweather Summer 2021 forecasts for Europe /https://mkweather.com/summer-2021-forecast-for-europe-hot-and-dry-pattern-as-leading-heatwaves-drought// and North America /https://mkweather.com/summer-2021-forecast-for-north-america-hot-stormy-east-and-dry-west// we should now look at predicting materials for Asia.

Spring 2021 forecast for Asia you will find here: /https://mkweather.com/spring-2021-forecast-for-asia-2021//.

It looks for very hot Summer 2021, only central India and coasts of Oman and Yemen should be thanks to strong activity of cyclones colder than long-term average.

While northern and central parts of the continent plus northern Middle East and Southeastern Asia should be dry, India, Pakistan, southern Iran, southern Middle East, northern China, Far East, northern Japan, Philippines and parts of Indonesia should be stormy.

Above average typhoon and cyclone activity in monsoon Asia stay strong while La nina will be weakening during summer months.

The strongest monsoon rains with floods are forecasted mainly for central and northern India, where even below average temperatures are projected.

Important factor for Indian rainfall will be too wet MJO and favorable phase of IOD above Indian ocean.

La nina will be still strong to bring severe typhoons in Philippines, but Thailand, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia and Vietnam appear drier, maybe thanks to weakening La nina pattern.

Malaysia and Indonesia appear with dry start, but stormy end of Summer 2021, thanks to shift of monsoon rains southward. This shift should be associated with transition from La nina to neutral ENSO phase.

Expected AO+ in June and July 2021 should bring hot and dry weather with possible wildfires across Siberia, but regional strong storm systems should appear, mainly in Far East.

Very stormy will be the most densely part of China and northern Japan, too, but southern Japan, Korea and southern China appear dry. Tibet and eastern Mongolia will be very warm and dry.

Very hot and dry Central Asia should be a result of more circulation patterns, not only anticyclonic AO+, but too easterly QBO phase, blocking westerlies from Atlantic above the continent or Eurasian circulation modes of both types.

In the Arctic, the next temperature records, similar as in Verkhoyansk, 2020, should appear /https://mkweather.com/38c-101f-behind-polar-circle-in-siberia-5-years-after-unprecedent-event-with-40c-104f-in-nunavut-northern-canada//.

Very hot weather is expected in Persian Gulf, where again temperatures around +54°C should appear.

Infographics - Sources:

Charts | ECMWF

CFSv2 Seasonal Climate Forecasts (noaa.gov)

CPC - Climate Weather Linkage: Madden - Julian Oscillation (noaa.gov)

The Quasi-biennial Oscillation (QBO) (nasa.gov)

Expected ENSO (La nina) evolution
Expected monthly NAO index
Tropical activity anomalies from April to September 2021
CFSv2 forecasts - temperature anomaly, precipitation anomaly and geopotential anomaly

40-day MJO forecast
Evolution of QBO in last period

Read more:

(Visited 25 times, 1 visits today)
Liked it? Take a second to support mkweather on Patreon!
Tags10 day forecast14 day forecast15 day forecast16 day forecastAAsia summer 2021 forecastAdana forecastAfghanistan summer 2021 forecastAfrica forecastAlbania weatherAleutian lowAmarilloAntarctica weatherAO forecast summer 2021AO indexArctic airArctic AmplificationArctic blastArctic oscillationAsia extreme weatherAsia forecastAsia monsoon 2021 forecastAsia severe weatherAsia summer 2021 forecastAsia summer forecastAthens forecastAtlantaAtmospheric blockingAustralia forecastAustria weatherBangladesh summer 2021 forecastBerlin forecastBhutan summer 2021 forecastblizzardblocking patternBordeaux forecastBostonBrunei summer 2021 forecastBuffaloCAIRO FORECASTCalgaryCambodia summer 2021 forecastCanadaCanada long term forecastCanada severe weatherCasperCheyenneChicagoChina summer 2021 forecastChina summer forecastCHISINAU FORECASTClevelandclimate changeCOBENHAGEN FORECASTcold blastcold spellcold weatherCordoba forecastCORK FORECAST CROATIA WEATHER FORECASTCOVID-19cycloneDenverdroughtdryDRY SEASONDuluthEast Timor summer 2021 forecastEdmontonENSO forecast AsiaEl nino forecast AsiaENSO forecast summer 2021EuropeEurope extreme weatherEurope long term forecastEurope severe weatherEurope snow forecastEurope temperature forecastEXTREME CIRCULATIONextreme cold weatherEXTREME FORECASTextreme frostsEXTREME LOW TEMPERATURESEXTREME SPRING FORECASTEXTREME TEMPERATURES USAEXTREME WEATHER 2021extreme weather Canadaextreme weather Europeextreme weather USAFar East summer forecastFinland weatherfloodsforecastFORECAST ALGIERSFORECAST ANKARAFORECAST ANTALYAFORECAST BARCELONAforecast BelarusFORECAST BELEGRADEFORECAST BELFAST FORECAST BELGIUMFORECAST BIALSKO BIALAFORECAST BIRMINGHAMFORECAST BRIGHTONFORECAST BRISTOLFORECAST BRNOFORECAST BUCHARESTforecast Bulgariaforecast CanadaFORECAST CARDIFFFORECAST CHINAforecast CzechiaFORECAST DENMARKFORECAST DONETSKFORECAST DUBLINFORECAST DUBROVNIKFORECAST EDINBURGHFORECAST EGYPTFORECAST ESTONIAforecast EuropeFORECAST FRANKFURTFORECAST GENEVEFORECAST GENOAFORECAST GOTEBORGFORECAST ICELANDFORECAST SAN FRANCISCOforecast USAFrance weatherfrostsGreat Lakes forecastGreece weatherGreenland highHamburg forecastheatwaveheavy rainHelenaHELSINKI FORECASTHeraklion forecasthistoric frostshot weatherHoustonhumidhumidexhurricaneICE RAINIcelandic lowIndia 2021 forecastIndia monsoon forecastIndia monsoon forecast summer 2021India spring forecastIndia summer 2021 forecastIndia summer 2021 forecast floodsIndia summer 2021 forecast monsoonIndia summer forecastIndian ocean dipole forecast summer 2021Indonesia summer 2021 forecastInnsbruck forecastInternational FallsIOD forecastIran summer 2021 forecastIraq summer 2021 forecastIRELAND WEATHER FORECASTIsrael summer 2021 forecastIstanbul forecastItaly weatherIzmir forecastJapan forecastJapan summer 2021 forecastJapan weatherKansas CityKARASJOK FORECASTKOELN FORECASTKong summer 2021 forecastKorea forecastKOSOVO WEATHER FORECASTKRAKOW FORECASTKuwait sum2021 forecastKYIV FORECASTKyrgyzstan summ2021 forecastLa Coruna forecastLa nina forecast AsialandslidesLaos summer 2021 forecastLATVIA WEATHER FORECASTLE HAVRE FORECASTLIBYA WEATHER FORECASTLisbon forecastLITHUANIA WEATHER FORECASTLJUBLJANA FORECASTLODZ FORECASTLondon forecastlong-term forecastLos AngelesLULEA FORECASTLUXEMBOURG WEATHER FORECASTLYON FORECASTMadrid forecastMalaga forecastMalaysiasummer 2021 forecastMaldivy summer 2021 forecastMALTA WEATHER FORECASTMANCHESTER FORECASTMARSEILLE FORECASTMiamiMid-Atlantic forecastMiddle East forecastMIDDLE EAST WEATHER FORECASTMidwest forecastMILAN FORECASTMINSK FORECASTMJO forecastMJO forecatMOLDOVA WEATHER FORECASTMongolia forecastMongolia summer 2021 forecastmonsoonmonsoon Asiamonsoon forecast Asia 2021monsoon season 2021 forecastmonsoon season Asia 2021 forecastMONTENEGRO WEATHER FORECASTMontrealMOROCCO WEATHER FORECASTMOSCOW FORECASTMunich forecastMURCIA FORECASTMyanmar summer 2021 forecastNAO forecast summer 2021NAO indexNAPLES FORECASTnegative phase Arctic oscillationnegative phase NAONepal summer 2021 forecastNETHERLANDS WEATHER FORECASTNew YorkNEW ZEALAND FORECSASTNICOSIA FORECASTNOAANorth Atlantic OscillationNorth Korea summer 2021 forecastNORTH MACEDONIA WEATHER FORECASTNORTH PACIFIC LOW PRESSURENortheast forecastNorthern HemisphereNorthern Plains forecastNorthwest forecastNorway weatherNOVOSIBIRSK FORECASTODESA FORECASTOklahoma CityOman summer 2021 forecastOrlandoOSLO FORECASTOttawaOULU FORECASTOymyakon forecastPakistan summer 2021 forecastParis forecastPEAK WEATHERPhiladelphiaPhoenixPittsburghPODGORICA FORECASTPOLAND WEATHER FORECASTpolar vortexPorto forecastPORTUGAL WEATHER FORECASTPrague forecastPRISTINA FORECASTQatar summer 2021 forecastQBO easterlies forecast summer 2021QBO forecastQuebecRABAT FORECASTRAINY SEASONRapid CityREYKYAVIK FORECASTRIGA FORECASTRocky MountainsROMANIA WEATHER FORECASTRussia extreme frostsRussia forecastRussia summer 2021 forecastSAHARA FORECASTSANKT PETERSBURG FORECASTSaudi Arabia summer 2021 forecsatSCOTLAND WEATHER FORECATseason 2021 forecastSEASONAL FORECAST USASeattleSERBIA WEATHER FORECASTsevere frostsSEVERE WEATHE RUSASevilla forecastSiberia summer 2021 forecastSiberian blastSiberian highSingapore summer 2021 forecastSioux Fallsski center Europe forecastSKOPJE FOECASTSLOVAKIA WEATHER FORECASTSLOVENIA WEATHER FORECASTsnowstormSOFIA FORECASTSOUTH AMERICA FORECASTSouth Korea summer 2021 forecastSOUTHERN USA FORECASTSouthwest forecastSPAIN WEATHER FORECASTSri Lanka summer 2021forecsatSTOCKHOLM EXTREME SPRING FORECASTstormstorm forecastsummer 2021 forecastsummer 2021 forecast Asiasummer 2021 forecast Europesummer 2021 forecast North Americasummer 2021 QBO forecastSummer forecast for Asia: Hot and strong Indian monsoonSWEDEN EXTREME WEATHER FORECASTSWITZERLAND WEATHER FORECASTTaiwan summer 2021 forecastTajikistan summer 2021 forecastTALLIN FORECASTtemperature recordtemperature recordsThailand summer 2021 forecastthunderstormTIRANA FORECASTTorontoTORSHAVN FORECASTTROMSO FORECASTtropical cycloneTropical depressiontropical stormTROPICAL SYSTEMtropicaltidbitsTulsaTUNIS FORECASTTURKEY WEATHER FORECASTTurkmenistan su2021 forecasttyphoonUK weather forecastUKRAINE WEATHER FORECASTUSUSA extreme cold blastUSA extreme weatherUSA forecastUSA long term forecastUzbekistan summer 2021 forecsatVancouverVietsummer 2021 forecastVILNIUS FORECASTWales weatherwarm spellwarm weatherWARSAW FORECASTWEATHER 2021 USAWEATHER FORECAST BERGENWEATHER FORECAST CANADAWEATHER FORECAST ENGLANDWEATHER FORECAST ERZURUMweather forecast europeWEATHER FORECAST USAweather outlookWEATHER OUTLOOK USAWEATHER PROGNOSIS USAwetwet MJO forecastwetterzentralewxchartsYemen summer 2021 forecastyria summer 2021 forecastZAGREB FORECASTZURRICH FORECAST

ARTICLES

COVID19 LIVE

Widget for web.